BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fayetteville St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 143 Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (4-4) Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =   72.60

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Home    L *  81.78  13  14    2 119 (  6-  4) Chowan                  9.18    -10.18                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L    72.92  28  50    2  78 ( 10-  2) UNC-Pembroke            0.32    -22.32                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    L    73.91   3  26   1B 102 (  2-  9) Elon                    1.31    -24.31                      
  4 09/24/2016 Home    L *  73.14  16  22    2 118 (  5-  5) Virginia Union          0.53     -6.53                      
  5 10/01/2016 Away    L *  60.94   3  37    2  75 (  7-  4) Bowie St              -11.66    -22.34                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    W *  61.46   7   6    2 161 (  2-  8) Shaw                  -11.15     12.15                      
  7 10/15/2016 Home    W *  81.34  37  21    2 156 (  3-  7) Johnson C. Smith        8.74      7.26                      
  8 10/22/2016 Away    W *  74.95  39  16    2 170 (  2-  8) St Augustine's          2.35     20.65                      
  9 10/29/2016 Home    W *  69.92  43  28    2 165 (  2-  8) Livingstone            -2.68     17.68                      
 10 11/05/2016 Home    L *  75.66  21  28    2 111 (  9-  3) Winston-Salem St        3.06    -10.06                      
      Averages              72.60  21.0 24.8

Best game:   81.78 = 1 point loss to Chowan
Worst game:  60.94 = 34 point loss to Bowie St
Team stdev:   7.03